The last decade saw an explosion in the use of simulation models to provide policy advice from policies to mitigate climate change, address the Covid-19 pandemic to project population movements. Yet there is a growing public concern that policymakers are being left behind when it comes to not only understanding the model advice but questioning…
Open Access Chapter from the 2023 Book: The Politics of Modelling: Numbers Between Science and Policy available at: https://academic.oup.com/book/46867 Paper Abstract There are reliable, empirically tested models for some phenomena. These are not the subject of this chapter. There are also many models with little or no scientific connection to what they purport to explain….
Abstract Climate change and COVID-19 have brought mathematical models into the forefront of politics and decision-making, where they are now being used to justify momentous and often controversial decisions. Such models are technically very complex, and sources of political authority. Yet disagreement among experts fuels a growing uneasiness about the quality and significance of the…
Abstract: Evaluating the potential impacts of each policy on all sustainability dimensions (economic, social and environmental), as captured in the UN SDGs and their targets, requires system thinking and shifting away from single disciplinary projects towards multi- and inter- disciplinary approaches that recognize complexities and acknowledge uncertainties. Modelling is an essential tool to increase the…
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